Possibilities 2050 | about the world and what's coming


A concise all-round assessment of

the world's prospects mid-century


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This site presents a readable, concise assessment of the potential state of the world in 2050.
It's written for thinking people like you, and you won't need a PhD to understand it.
Available now:
Intro and Part One in PDF format
best for printing out: A4 paper size
for on-screen reading: A5 paper size



The Main Issues

Further Issues
Tue 4th Sept War and Peace

Fri 7th Sept  Conclusion
One Planet, Many Worlds
Our Dilemma
Scenario Probabilities
The Main Risks
Crisis and Change
Awkward Questions
About the author
Palden Jenkins is an independent, realistic and progressive thinker with a background in geopolitics, history, humanitarian work, community projects, consultancy and consciousness work. He lives on an organic farm in Cornwall, UK.
Serialisation - latest upload: Culture and Religion
This report is being serialised, one or two chapters per week. The full report will be available here from early September, with a full PDF version available for download and circulation.

It's written to help you clarify your understanding of what might be coming
- this is important, since we're at a critical stage of human history.

It doesn't try to predict the future, neither to advocate what the author believes should happen. Clearly, he has his perspectives, biases and feelings, like anyone, and this report will reflect that. But he has put a lifetime of thought into it, striving to form a balanced, all-round view. Not many do.

Forecasting the future involves a lot of qualified speculation spiced with a good measure of uncertainty. Anyone who pretends otherwise needs a reality-check. When the future becomes the present, that's our reality-check. Until then, it's all careful guesstimates.

There are many variables, unknowns, unknowables, complexities and considerations involved in assessing the future. This is tricky to deal with. All the same, likelihoods can be identified. By looking at overall trends and potentials that are visible today or hovering under the surface, and at mechanisms shaping the future, we can ready our thoughts for a spectrum of possibilities.

It's perplexing and a big question. Understandably, many people don't think much about it, except for bursts of concern when dramatic news floods the media. It's all so big and daunting, and we all have busy lives.

The situation isn't neat and simple. It would be great to give definite forecasts, answers and solutions, but this is neither possible nor honest.

Our world is made up of a remarkable variety of people and cultures, each with different perspectives, questions and answers. The future will be hammered out through a process of debate, fermentation, tugging and pushing, incidents, accidents, moments of brilliance, breakthroughs, disappointments and heavy lifting. That's how things will be decided.

This report highlights awkward dilemmas and contradictions, and it leaves many questions unanswered. It seeks simply to give a succinct overview of the whole situation, with enough detail and not too much.

What happens in the future depends on what we all do with it and, in particular, how we resolve one key question: who decides?

Please refer people to this site or forward PDF versions to them. No charge, no strings. The report is given away so that anyone can access it, regardless of their finances or where they are. It isn't plugging, advocating or selling anything, neither is it pushing any particular agenda.

Let's get on with it. Enjoy the ride. First, the Introduction.

Possibilities 2050

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